McCain's behind. It's October. If Palin doesn't change the momentum tonight, isn't it getting to be about the time when you'd predict McCain would do what all the insiders said he wouldn't do, namely turn his campaign over to Mike Murphy to see if that will save him?
The McCain campaign has been hurt by two things recently. The first was the the media's insistent pushing of the Palin is an idiot meta-narrative. Tonight's debate most likely effectively killed that meta-narrative.
The second thing that has hurt the McCain campaign has been the financial crisis. The McCain campaign has yet to turn the financial crisis into a political positive. Rather than dumping the campaign manager, the McCain campaign would be better served by finding a way to turn the financial crisis into a political positive.